We’ve previewed the biggest on-field battles coming up in MLS Cup. We’ve predicted the ins and outs of the final. And now? Now we’re diving into the data. Here’s what the numbers have to say about how each finalist could make life difficult for the other.
Here’s the case for the LA Galaxy and the New York Red Bulls, by the numbers.
LA Galaxy
As far as statistical cases go, that the LA Galaxy have one of the most prolific offenses in MLS history is a darn good place to start. The offseason signings of Gabriel Pec and Joseph Paintsil have done wonders for the club when paired with Puig and Dejan Joveljic – those four players became the first set of teammates to nab 10 goals apiece in a single season.
Now, with Puig’s injury and his incredible usage rate, the Galaxy will have to alter the way they play. Greg Vanney’s philosophy during his time at the Galaxy is possession at something approaching all costs, playing offensive personnel groupings with the expectation that the team will dominate the ball.
Puig’s injury may just see Marco Reus slot into the attacking role with Mark Delgado playing as a No. 8. According to FBref, Puig’s progressive passing distance per 90 was 502 yards per game. Delgado’s is 325 yards. That’s, uh, a sizable difference, one that will spur some sort of tactical shift, even if it’s slight.
So far this year, the Galaxy haven’t played a team that’s quite as direct as this version of theRed Bulls. One of the best glimpses we have into their play against a direct team came in LA’s 3-3 draw with St. Louis City back on March 16th.